Search found 2 matches

by ethan
Mon Apr 02, 2018 6:05 pm
Forum: Simulation mechanics, assumptions, and inputs
Topic: Probability density function?
Replies: 3
Views: 4505

Re: Probability density function?

Thanks Jim! Fair observation. It would take some serious effort to determine with high confidence the expected impact of changing the function...if the not-so-rare larger events cancel each other out, it might not matter all that much. If it shifts a plan from 95% probability of success to 94, then....
by ethan
Sun Apr 01, 2018 1:38 pm
Forum: Simulation mechanics, assumptions, and inputs
Topic: Probability density function?
Replies: 3
Views: 4505

Probability density function?

Dear FRP, First, YOU ROCK. I have been using FRP over the last couple weeks and just made a donation. This is an awesome tool. I am interested in your model that predicts returns and how it might be made more accurate. There are well-known weaknesses with using a normal distribution to model stock m...