Search found 2 matches

by meeotch
Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:52 pm
Forum: General questions and comments
Topic: reduced expected return
Replies: 5
Views: 633

Re: reduced expected return

Thanks for the reply. Yes, I did take a look at the bogleheads spreadsheet - if memory serves, the 60/40 allocation gave numbers similar to the Moderate setting in FRP: 9% returns, 10% std dev. Which makes sense, I guess, since the sheet is based on historical data. (Side note: bogleheads is terrifi...
by meeotch
Wed Oct 28, 2020 1:49 pm
Forum: General questions and comments
Topic: reduced expected return
Replies: 5
Views: 633

reduced expected return

So you hear a lot recently about historical average market returns being an unrealistic estimate for the coming decade(s). Low interest rates, "secular stagnation", current historically high P/E ratios, etc. With the caveat that nobody actually knows, I personally believe it to be true, and in my ow...