Search found 2 matches
- Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:52 pm
- Forum: General questions and comments
- Topic: reduced expected return
- Replies: 5
- Views: 11361
Re: reduced expected return
Thanks for the reply. Yes, I did take a look at the bogleheads spreadsheet - if memory serves, the 60/40 allocation gave numbers similar to the Moderate setting in FRP: 9% returns, 10% std dev. Which makes sense, I guess, since the sheet is based on historical data. (Side note: bogleheads is terrifi...
- Wed Oct 28, 2020 1:49 pm
- Forum: General questions and comments
- Topic: reduced expected return
- Replies: 5
- Views: 11361
reduced expected return
So you hear a lot recently about historical average market returns being an unrealistic estimate for the coming decade(s). Low interest rates, "secular stagnation", current historically high P/E ratios, etc. With the caveat that nobody actually knows, I personally believe it to be true, an...