Wondering if highly unlikely Monte Carlo realizations are identified and excluded from the probability of success calculation -- or if they don't occur. My expectation from Monte Carlo is that I might see an occasional multiple sigma rate of return, and maybe that would be a + or - 25% or 30% return. But if I saw a + or - 50%, I would exclude it. I can't tell from the output that FRP produces. Thoughts?
Thank you
Pathological realizations among Monte Carlo results?
Re: Pathological realizations among Monte Carlo results?
There's no magic built into the simulation logic in that respect. It just takes what the pseudo random generator gives it and runs with it.
Re: Pathological realizations among Monte Carlo results?
Got it, thanks Jim!
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