This very interesting article suggests that planning tools could be more accurate if they had some way to constrain the portfolio models with long-term reversion to the mean. Thoughts?
Kitces: Does Monte Carlo Analysis Actually Overstate Tail Risk In Retirement Projections?
(Article content removed by moderator to respect owner's copyright).
Reversion to mean constraints?
Re: Reversion to mean constraints?
It is an interesting article.
Kitces 'Nerd's Eye View' blog is chock full of interesting content. It's in my RSS feed as a must read.
Kitces 'Nerd's Eye View' blog is chock full of interesting content. It's in my RSS feed as a must read.
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